Thayer Ventures Acquisition Stock Performance

ISPOW Stock  USD 0.01  0.00  0.00%   
The entity has a beta of -0.8, which indicates possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Thayer Ventures are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Thayer Ventures is likely to outperform the market. At this point, Thayer Ventures Acqu has a negative expected return of -0.51%. Please make sure to validate Thayer Ventures' market risk adjusted performance, jensen alpha, as well as the relationship between the Jensen Alpha and accumulation distribution , to decide if Thayer Ventures Acqu performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Thayer Ventures Acquisition has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of unfluctuating performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain fairly stable which may send shares a bit higher in March 2026. The latest fuss may also be a sign of long-term up-swing for the venture sophisticated investors. ...more
1
Disposition of 7784 shares by Michael Arthur of Thayer Ventures at 2.5428 subject to Rule 16b-3
11/28/2025
2
Disposition of 200 shares by Institutional Venture Partners Xiii, L.p. of Thayer Ventures at 4.0 subject to Rule 16b-3
02/03/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow42.3 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-6 M

Thayer Ventures Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  1.18  in Thayer Ventures Acquisition on November 9, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (0.48) from holding Thayer Ventures Acquisition or give up 40.68% of portfolio value over 90 days. Thayer Ventures Acquisition is currently producing negative expected returns and takes up 8.4747% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 76% of traded stocks are less volatile than Thayer, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon Thayer Ventures is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 10.35 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.06 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.12 per unit of volatility.

Thayer Ventures Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Thayer Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 0.01 90 days 0.01 
over 95.9
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Thayer Ventures to move above the current price in 90 days from now is over 95.9 (This Thayer Ventures Acquisition probability density function shows the probability of Thayer Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Thayer Ventures Acquisition has a beta of -0.8. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Thayer Ventures are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Thayer Ventures Acquisition is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Thayer Ventures Acquisition has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Thayer Ventures Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Thayer Ventures

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Thayer Ventures Acqu. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.018.48
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.018.48
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.00010.018.48
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.010.010.01
Details

Thayer Ventures Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Thayer Ventures is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Thayer Ventures' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Thayer Ventures Acquisition, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Thayer Ventures within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.33
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.8
σ
Overall volatility
0
Ir
Information ratio -0.05

Thayer Ventures Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Thayer Ventures for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Thayer Ventures Acqu can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Thayer Ventures Acqu generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Thayer Ventures Acqu has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Thayer Ventures Acqu has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Thayer Ventures Acqu has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
Thayer Ventures Acquisition has accumulated 206.06 M in total debt. Thayer Ventures Acqu has a current ratio of 0.49, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Note, when we think about Thayer Ventures' use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity.
The entity reported the revenue of 279.86 M. Net Loss for the year was (8.8 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 82.27 M.
Thayer Ventures Acquisition has accumulated about 80.23 M in cash with (15.77 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 69.84, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
Thayer Ventures Acqu has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures

Thayer Ventures Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Thayer Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Thayer Ventures' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Thayer Ventures' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding5.9 M
Cash And Short Term Investments35 M

Thayer Ventures Fundamentals Growth

Thayer Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Thayer Ventures, and Thayer Ventures fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Thayer Stock performance.

About Thayer Ventures Performance

Evaluating Thayer Ventures' performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if Thayer Ventures has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Thayer Ventures has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets(0.02)(0.03)
Return On Capital Employed(0.07)(0.08)
Return On Assets(0.02)(0.02)
Return On Equity 0.04  0.04 

Things to note about Thayer Ventures Acqu performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Thayer Ventures for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Thayer Ventures Acqu help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Thayer Ventures Acqu generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Thayer Ventures Acqu has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Thayer Ventures Acqu has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Thayer Ventures Acqu has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
Thayer Ventures Acquisition has accumulated 206.06 M in total debt. Thayer Ventures Acqu has a current ratio of 0.49, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Note, when we think about Thayer Ventures' use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity.
The entity reported the revenue of 279.86 M. Net Loss for the year was (8.8 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 82.27 M.
Thayer Ventures Acquisition has accumulated about 80.23 M in cash with (15.77 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 69.84, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
Thayer Ventures Acqu has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Evaluating Thayer Ventures' performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Thayer Ventures' stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Thayer Ventures' financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Thayer Ventures' stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Thayer Ventures' industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Thayer Ventures' management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Thayer Ventures' management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Thayer Ventures' stock. These opinions can provide insight into Thayer Ventures' potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Thayer Ventures' stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Thayer Ventures' stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Additional Tools for Thayer Stock Analysis

When running Thayer Ventures' price analysis, check to measure Thayer Ventures' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Thayer Ventures is operating at the current time. Most of Thayer Ventures' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Thayer Ventures' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Thayer Ventures' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Thayer Ventures to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.